November 18, 2007 at 2:17 am
#754282
Inactive

Don’t seem to be able to get the image to display but the link leads you to the spreadsheet output.
To be read as :
HOME TEAM v AWAY TEAM …. where MAR = expected MARGIN of win.
So
– JACKSONVILLE to beat SAN DIEGO by 0.7 pts (lets say a point).
– INDIANAPOLIS to beat KANSAS CITy by 12 or 13 pts.
– MINNESOTA to beat OAKLAND by 5-6 pts.
– HOUSTON lose to NEW ORLEANS by 3 or 4 pts.
– etc.
Other fields that might be of interest.
HW% = chance of a home win (based on OBS)
AW% = chance of an away win (based on OBS)
OBS = number of previous games (since 1983) that had similar rankings
ATS Pick = Spread pick based on handicap shown in ATS field.