January 5, 2007 at 11:38 pm
#721152
Member
nick777 wrote:
Man, talking to you is like talking to a brick wall
When you split pairs you gotta put more money on the table eh
So it’s $400, $100 for each hand, as opposed to your original $200, $100 for each hand you stood with
you got 4 hands of $100 each with a 64% chance of winning going against the dealer’s 6
instead of 2 hands of $100 each with a 85% chance going against a dealer’s 6
is this math really so hard for you to comprehend
YOU HAVE TO CONSIDER LOSSES, NOT JUST WINS. I’ll spell this out for you.
My results were when standing you win 80%, lose 10%, and push 10%. That makes the expected gain 80% – 10% = 70%.
With the split you win 61%, lose 35%, and push 9%.
That makes the expected gain 2* (63% – 35%) = 56%
Note the 2. You are multiplying by 2 because bet is doubled.