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Reply To: This is how online casinos make money

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#720664
Anonymous
Inactive

Hi Stupid

I was just lettin off some steam on another thread about this blackjack player i have who never loses and wipes out all my commissions every month.

But…

About your situation, i think you made a mistake

Some words from the old master Mr Bobby Singer, a blackjack legend and expert mathmetician

If the dealers up card is a 5 or a 6(6 being the best for you), you should attack, and in your case that means splitting both pairs, this is one of those rare cases when you should consider breaking up a 20 hand, if the dealer had a 7-8-9-10 showing you would stand, but not so with a 5-6

The reason is that the percentages favour the dealer going bust

So with those 2 hands you would first split, then double down, if allowed

I dont know what cards would have come up, but the first card coming your way was a queen, giving you 20 again, and any card is good really, as the dealer will likely bust

Bobby says in these situations where the deck is stacked in your favour you should always attack

With the dealer having a 6, only these combos of cards can put him in a position to not go bust

Ace
7-8
7-7
7-6
7-5
6-9
6-8
6-7
6-6
5-10
5-9
5-8
5-7
5-6
4-10
4-9
4-8
4-7
3-10
3-9
3-8
2-10
2-9
5-j
5-q
5-k
4-j
4-q
4-k
3-k
3-q
3-j
2-k
2-q
2-j

Aside from that, all the other combos bust out the dealer

k-k
k-q
k-j
k-10
k-9
k-8
k-7
k-6
q-q
q-j
q-10
q-9
q-8
q-7
q-6
j-j
j-10
j-9
j-8
j-7
j-6
10-10
10-9
10-8
10-7
10-6
9-9
9-8
9-7
8-8

that’s roughly half the combos that favour you winning both bets on the split and double down

there is about a 50% chance the dealer will go bust, i think, i did this pretty quick, i didn’t consider the low probability factors of the dealer drawing repetitive low cards, but the odds are in your favour big time with an app 50% chance of the dealer busting out, plus the probability that your draw with the 10’s will beat the dealers draw with the 6

without going through all the math, it’s a good position to be in having face cards up against a 6, you should’ve won the hand either way, the only difference is that by splitting and doubling down you put yourself in a good position to win more with a favourable draw.

So in conclusion, both me and Bobby Singer would agree that you messed up and played this hand wrong

Take care