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Reply To: Professors Picks NFL Divisional Playoffs

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#758793
Anonymous
Inactive

@bb1webs 150921 wrote:

man I’m stupid.

dumped on him? that mean you bet on him or stayed away?

Please Nick ….. for the dummy

so is lead pipe cinch a “sure to win” ……

or a “sure to lose?

sorry to be so dim but I want to get it right next time lol.

Dumped = Means to bet on for large amounts

Lead Pipe Cinch = Means there is no way it can lose lol

I’ll give u a famous example from the track, a story that made news headlines here

This one guy decided to make some easy money one day, he put his house up for mortgage, and head off over to the track with a briefcase filled with about $100 000

At Woodbine in the afternoon there was a horse called Mr Hot Shot, he was the track record holder and very sharp, and entered in a race vs 4 other horses that he should win easy

So buddy bet all of his money on Mr Hot Shot to Show (come in 1st, 2nd, or 3rd place)

Mr Hot Shot wins easy as the big favorite and buddy collects the minimum $0.10 payout on every $2 show bet, for an easy profit of about $5000

Later that night at Greenwood racetrack, the fastest horse (trotter) in the history of racing is racing at Greenwood, he was making his world tour, coming from Sweden, and was running a full 10 seconds faster than the local competition

Matts Scooter was his name, and he was the biggest favorite in the history of Greenwood racetrack, most people just came out to see him run and put a $2 souvenier bet on him

He was running against 4 other horses, so buddy bets it all on him to Show (come in 1st, 2nd, or 3rd place), it took a team of tellers nearly an hour to place his bets i was told by a teller friend of mine.

The track has to pay the minimum $0.10 on a $2 Show bet, so buddy is gonna score another easy $5000+

Matts Scooter was the biggest lead pipe cinch in history

And i was there, i watched both races live, at Woodbine and Greenwood, it was a big racing day

Believe it or not, boos were pouring out of the grandstand as Matts Scooter got completely dusted by the local boobs and finished 4th in the most suspicious looking race of all time

The top 3 finishers each paid over $100 to show on a $2 bet, it completely threw the betting pool out of whack

And wouldn’t u just know it, i happened to bet on the winner, a horse called Soft Light, never have i been one to follow the public lol, and i remember the ridiculous payouts, my horse paid $35 to win, $68 to place, and $134 to show, on a $2 bet lol

And that is a story of a lead pipe cinch, actually that is probably the best lead pipe cinch story i know

Basically when a team has an advantage in every area/matchup and u can’t see any way they can lose, that makes them a lead pipe cinch

Another example would be a horse called Housebuster running in the Breeders Cup Sprint a few years back, he was the biggest favorite in Breeders Cup history and got dusted lol

So it’s never a good idea to dump on a lead pipe cinch, as my experience has taught me

Imagine u were handicapping the Dallas vs NYG game, what angle could u use to pick NYG, most people still think Dallas is the better team after the game and are looking for excuses

Dallas beat NYG every time they played this year, finished with the better record in the same division, are playing at home with an extra weeks rest, have the better offense and defense, so by picking NYG u would look weird

Me personally, i always bet against the lead pipe cinch, i find it a much more valuable play, that doesn’t mean it will always lose however

New England is another lead pipe cinch vs San Diego lol

They already played this year and New England whooped San Diego 38-14, they’re playing at home having played one less game, are a 14+ point favorite, have the better record, better offense/defense, and on top of all that San Diego have some key injuries to star players, number 1 QB, RB, Receiver, all Pro Bowl players that couldn’t even finish the game last week, all 3 with busted up legs

So ya, New England is a lead pipe cinch