I voted for 2015+ …
The main reason is that the opponents are entrenched – and financial facts don’t really seem to matter in this issue. You have people staking their political careers on the fact that online gambling is “evil’ and will not be passed on their watch.
You also have a significant proportion (10% ?) of the general population that think it’s a good thing that this ban is in place – typically religious groups – and they will continue to hang onto that belief despite any attempt at presenting evidence to the contrary.
I do not see that ANY political force can afford to alienate this group of people over an issue that is still a relatively minor issue (compared to health reform, bank regualtion, war in Iraq/Afganistan, and general econoic woes).
While this issue COULD help financial taxes, it is going to cost votes to implement and force though – and I do not expect Mr Obama to have the will to fight this fight in his first (and only?) term.
He does not want to go down as the “gambling president”.