Yet nolan insisted they were 0.70, from page 1 to page whatever
How many times do we need to go over this? Do you understand that the numbers change slightly according to rule differences, including # of decks and hit/stand on soft 17? For multideck, it is ~0.70 if dealer stands on soft 17 with and ~0.68 if dealer hits soft 17. I’ve listed 4 sources that all say ~0.70 (for stand on soft 17) including an article you quoted (not my link, your link — http://www.casino.com/blackjack/article.asp?id=1720 ). Wizard’s data for infinite decks as well as Wizard’s data for 2 or more decks with stand on soft 17 says ~0.70 (see http://wizardofodds.com/blackjack/appendix1.html ) . My hand calcs with stand on soft 17 on page 3 came to ~0.70 . I could also find 4 links that say ~0.68 . But these ~0.68s specify hit soft 17, rather than stand.
But i am not debating this anymore, throughout the course of this entire thread i am the only one who actually put up any correct numbers
You mean your “equation” where you decided to multiply by listed results by 4x more when splitting than standing? As I wrote a few hours ago…
You can’t just go around multiplying listed values by whatever numbers you want to get the results you want. Yes, you did finally find a table that does not appear to be based on initial bet size. Given the 0.175 value, it seems to be based on expected gain per split hand. But why in the world would you multiply by 2 twice for a total of 4x. Do you think there are 4x more hands in a split than a stand?!
You’d multiply by the average number of hands… there are 2 hands for the split and 2*4/13 for the resplit in both hands (recall 4/13 odds of drawing a 10 to make a resplit in each of the two split hands)
2 + 2* 4/13 = 2.62 hands on average
2.62 * 0.175 = ~0.46
Does ~0.46 sound familiar? It should because it is the value I have been listing for the past 10 pages, when including resplits!