This is going nowhere
Although with howard taking your side, my odds of being proven correct have greatly increased
Nolan, you can’t just throw up numbers that are wrong to support your theory, these are what the odds say, and i know they could be wrong, like you said, and shouldn’t be trusted, but i can say the same about yours.
—- 1 Deck, H17, DOA, DAS, LSR, RSA=4, RSP=4 —
Player Hand: 10,10, Dealer upcard: 6 Decision: Stay
Hit:-0.84564 Stand:0.66830 Double:-1.69129 Split:0.33133
You can dispute those odds, like i am disputing yours, that’s fine
But those numbers, 1.4 to 1.12 are absolutely way off and wrong in my opinion
You can play out 100 hands at home with a deck of cards and chips and see how wrong they are
For those who say playing out 100 hands is inconclusive, i don’t agree, what are the odds that you will be off by so much after playing 100 hands, the numbers won’t be 100% accurate, but they won’t be that way off either.
As for michael repeatedly trying to demean me by stating i am disagreement with every mathematician in the world, i don’t think he’s understood anything i’ve been saying from the start.
Those odds were calculated based on 1 handed play, not 2 handed play
There are other factors that go into the equation for 2 handed play
One i pointed out
It’s not 200 hands vs 400 hands, it’s 200 hands vs 400+ hands, because of the resplit probability
The other thing in question are the actual odds, not everyone is agreement as to the actual odds, your odds support your scenario, others don’t
Regardless, one thing is certain, 1.4 vs 1.12 looks wrong, there is just no way that it is that much of an advantage to stand, that is a huge difference, and only your site seems to come to that total, so it might very well be you who is in disagreement with other mathematicians, not me.
I know this particular hand is probably the most disputed in blackjack history, and the general conclusion was that standing is the better play, but only slightly, not by the margin you suggest, but those calculations did not include the extra hands in play because of the resplit probability
If you wanna play it out, with me splitting and you standing, we can do that, i will win more, which is what i’ve been saying, just let me know how you propose we do that, it has to be a live table of course, no online simulators or wizard software