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Reply To: This is how online casinos make money

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#721267
Anonymous
Inactive
Nick777 wrote:
I thought you wanted a shot at the title buddy, i guess i misunderstood

And how. All I’ve ever suggested that we wager on is your *blackjack strategy*. How exactly can you “misunderstand” that to mean that I wanted to bet on sports or poker?!

And if you’re willing to wager on sports or poker, why are you NOT willing to wager on what you’re actually arguing about? (your blackjack strategy)

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As far as credentials go, they mean nothing, millions of people have them

Yes, but the point is that *EVERY SINGLE* credentialed expert disagrees with your analysis. Every last one of them, not just the Wizard, ALL OF THEM. It’s easy for you to take potshots at the Wizard, but are you saying that they’re ALL wrong, and that you alone have figured out what EVERY SINGLE LAST ONE of these experts have missed? Are you really saying that?

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It’s not an idea, it’s a fact that any mathmetician will confirm

Now wait a minute, earlier you were dismissing the idea that mathematicians might actually know something about math, so why are you now suddenly interested in what mathematicians think? Every mathematician on the face of the planet who’s ever looked at the game of blackjack would agree that you stand on 10,10 vs. 6 and you split on 8,8 vs. 10. Do you have any respect for mathematicians’ analysis or not?

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All these little details which favour my system are completely overlooked by your wizard, he does not combine all the favourable circumstances, like you’re supposed to do.

And how exactly did you come to that fantastic conclusion? The whole *basis* of the Wizard’s work is to consider every possible event in a round of play. What exactly is your evidence that he does NOT do this?

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it is quite possible that this guy is a casino stooly, and guys like you spread rumours of plotted instances where he got barred for being so good.

Now you’re insulting both the Wizard and I in the same breath, saying that he’s a turncoat and that I’m a liar. This is offensive beyond description.

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I mean if you know the guy, then by all means ask him, i am not one to back down from a challenge

Are you kidding? You’ve backed away from the challenge to a wager on this topic each and every time I’ve offered it. I’ll offer it again: Let’s bet on your blackjack strategy. I’ll deal 10,10 vs. 6 and 8,8 vs. 10 hands to you and you can play your strategy, then you deal the same hands to me and I’ll play my strategy. Name the stakes and the city — if you’re really “not one to back down from a challenge”. I’m challenging you. Will you accept?

As far as asking the Wizard how he does his analysis, I know how he does his blackjack analyses: He uses a recursive Excel spreadsheet to calculate all possible events in every possible hand, and he also writes simulations in C++ that consider every possible event in every possible hand.

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I don’t know what part of what i said you could possibly dispute

Oh, I don’t know, maybe the bit about how you know better than every credentialed blackjack expert on the face of the planet. Yeah, maybe I dispute that.

You answered my question #1 above by stating that your math skills are better than a university math professor. An odd answer, but you did answer it. Now let’s see how you answer the other questions:

(2) Are you aware that every single other bona-fide blackjack expert has taken the exact same position as the Wizard? (And by “expert” I’m talking about people with advanced university degrees or who undisputably made their living playing blackjack professionally.) Do you know that there is 100% unanimous agreement among the experts about the position the Wizard (and Nolan and I) are taking?

(3) Those experts include Dr. Edward Thorp, Lawrence Revere, Ken Uston, Ian Andersen, Dr. Olaf Vancura, and Stanford Wong. Are you saying that each and every one of these (rather famous, successful, and well-educated) blackjack experts is wrong, and *you alone* have the correct analysis that all these experts fail to comprehend? Are you, Nick777, really smarter than all these people? You’ve figured it out, while all the blackjack pros and math professors are wrong? Is that really what you’re saying?

(4) Can you name even one person who supports your position who either (a) makes their living at blackjack, or (b) has an advanced degree in math? (And for (a), it should of course be someone who is willing to put their money where their mouth is by accepting a wager.) Can you name even one such person on the face of the whole planet?