Lets get the wizard up here to slobber over this
All kidding aside, i took digs at the man, when really all he did was provide players with sound statistical probabilities, unfortunately for everyone if you wanna join me up in the champs lounge, you need advanced technology, and that’s where i come in to pick up the slack, and take over for the wizard.
First i will explain his formula
What you need to remember is that his formula is based on playing only one hand at a time
Keep that in mind, because after i’m done even the simplest mind should be able to make sense of this
Standing = 0.85 (will win 85% of the time)
Splitting = 0.64 (will win 64% of the time)
The wizards formula for one hand play in this situation is this
Standing – (0.85 x 1 = 0.85) – (0.15 x 1 = 0.15) = 0.70
Splitting – (0.64 x 2 x 1 = 1.28) – (0.36 x 2 x 1 = 0.72) = 0.56
Which you have all been saying over and over again, without even questioning the fact that your math could be wrong)
Well, your math is not wrong, those are the correct numbers, as Darko just posted.
But
The correct formula for 2 handed play in this situation is this
Standing – (0.85 x 2 x 1 = 1.7) – (0.15 x 2 x 1 = 0.3) = 1.4
Splitting – (0.64 x 4 x 3 x 2 x 1 = 15.36) – (0.36 x 4 x 3 x 2 x 1 = 8.64) = 6.72
Huge difference
And that my friends is the only correct formula to apply to this situation
It’s called the probability factor
Now you know why they call me the champ