And it is 4 hands vs 2 hands, rather than 4 vs 1 in the real world. I realize there are different rules in your casino fantasy land where you can double on 1-card hands and split hand BJs pay 2 to 1 (What happens in your fantasyland if you double a 1-card hand and get a BJ, is that a “double BJ” that pays 4 to 1?) .
I’ve been known to fly off the handles, but in this case it is truly deserving, and i will make you look even stupider than you are already doing to yourself
First of all, it’s my 4 hands vs the dealer’s 1 hand
Second, try to follow, it might be a bit advanced for you
It’s not the probability outcome of 1 hand vs 1 hand times 4, like you think, it’s the probability outcome of 4 favourable hands vs 1 hand times 4
On average you will win at least 2.6 times your bet by splitting
The most you can win by not splitting is 2 times your bet
And because you have 4 seperate hands, the chances of you losing your entire stake are also greatly reduced.
Once again i point out that your math is wrong, not the actual counting part, but the formula you are applying to correctly calculate the odds in this situation