I am also considering a third and fourth poll for US Webmasters and Non US Webmasters. I am curious to see if the polls reveal anything as I notice that Non US webmasters seem to be doing better after the legislation while US based ones seem to be doing worse. Assuming most everyone markets on the same internet and to the same pool of potential players then the two groups should NOT be wide apart statistically, but forum posts make me think there may be an anomoly.
Good idea.
My hunch is you are right. I also think it may be something to do with the fact that you Americans were largely “first” in to the market and therefore might have substantial sums from US players in older programs who have thus been more affected by the legislation. The newer affiliates may be more “spread” around and be promoting more euro-centric brands thus having less of a “historic” US “base” over the past year or two and consequently less affected by legislation such as this, partially through necessity, partially through knowledge in the area.
Quite possibly, back then, people like 888, Party and the big Playtechs were the main brands: lucrative and with less competition and as such cornered a large section of the US affiliate market. All three of which have obviously now pulled out, hence why this overnight discrepency has occurred.
I think the reverse would happen if all the UK bookmakers suddenly pulled out of the UK for example: the UK affs would feel it much harder than the US affs.
Finally, one thing that might be harder to measure with a poll: my bet is the biggest sufferrers have less baskets in which their eggs are laid: or at least, one or two baskets holding a disproportionate number of eggs. That too would seem logical on the “historical” front as today we are more spoiled for choice…well, good choices anyway 